The
region’s business community heard a mixed
economic outlook for the coming year Thursday,
with job growth coming in as one of the top
challenges.
The forecast and review of the area’s economic
standing was part of the Greater New Haven
Chamber of Commerce’s annual Regional Economic
Outlook Breakfast, held at the New Haven Lawn
Club.
Todd
P. Martin, economic adviser to People’s Bank,
focused on the many issues facing the state,
including employment and housing concerns.
On
the commercial real estate front, Richard
S. Guralnick, senior broker at H. Pearce Commercial
Real Estate, reviewed some of the positive
and negative aspects of the market, as well
as the trends.
"The
economy is doing a lot better than people
think it is," Martin told a crowd of
200, pointing to national economic and employment
growth.
While
Connecticut has been slowly recovering jobs,
it still lags the nation in job growth and
faces affordable housing and transportation
infrastructure challenges.
On
the upside, the state surpasses most of the
nation when it comes to worker productivity,
and though housing is expensive the market
is not overvalued compared with other areas
of the nation.
Also,
while energy costs could hamper growth, gasoline
prices are back down to pre-hurricane season
levels.
Still,
the state is still down 25,400 jobs from its
employment peak in July 2000 and hasn’t seen
job growth since 1989, Martin said. The New
Haven area only added 200 new jobs over the
last 12 months.
Over
the long term, the state will see the largest
growth in the nursing field, with a projected
5,248 additional registered nurses by 2012.
After that, the next several fields involve
jobs mostly in the service sector, including
cashiers, retail salesmen, and waiters and
waitresses.
Job
creation remains the biggest focus for the
chamber, said President Anthony P. Rescigno.
"Clearly,
we’re in an economy where you can look at
it as if the glass is half full or half empty,"
he said, adding he is optimistic about future
job and economic growth.
Meanwhile,
the region’s commercial real estate market
has been experiencing high vacancy rates,
though development trends point to future
growth, Guralnick said, adding that government
needs to foster a more business-friendly environment
to attract new tenants.
"Things
need to happen at the state, local and regional
level," he said. "We need to be
more business friendly."
Greater
New Haven’s office market for buildings with
more than 10,000 square feet now has an 18
percent vacancy rate, while the city’s central
business district has an 11 percent vacancy
rate. Those figures are comparable with both
Stamford and Greenwich, he said, and if the
market isn’t doing well there, it usually
doesn’t do well here, he added.
"I
don’t think they’ll (businesses) be coming
over the Housatonic (River) any time soon,"
he said.
But
a number of current projects, such as the
Gateway Downtown Development Project and various
retail and office projects in North Haven
and East Haven, as well as a jump in medical
facility construction, point to future economic
growth, he said.
H.
Pearce Commercial Real Estate specializes
in Connecticut’s central, south-central,
and Shoreline markets, with offices in North
Haven and Rocky Hill. Commercial property
offerings can be found in color on the web
at www.HPearceCommercial.com.
|